Developing a judgment of confidence

Entrepreneurial Success and Failure: Confidence and Fallible Judgment

Excess entry – or the high failure rate of market-entry decisions – is often attributed to overconfidence exhibited by entrepreneurs. We show analytically that whereas excess entry is an inevitable consequence of imperfect assessments of entrepreneurial skill, it does not imply overconfidence. Judgmental fallibility leads to excess entry even when everyone is underconfident. Self-selection impl...

developing a pattern based on speech acts and language functions for developing materials for the course “ the study of islamic texts translation”

هدف پژوهش حاضر ارائه ی الگویی بر اساس کنش گفتار و کارکرد زبان برای تدوین مطالب درس "بررسی آثار ترجمه شده ی اسلامی" می باشد. در الگوی جدید، جهت تدوین مطالب بهتر و جذاب تر، بر خلاف کتاب-های موجود، از مدل های سطوح گفتارِ آستین (1962)، گروه بندی عملکردهای گفتارِ سرل (1976) و کارکرد زبانیِ هالیدی (1978) بهره جسته شده است. برای این منظور، 57 آیه ی شریفه، به صورت تصادفی از بخش-های مختلف قرآن انتخاب گردید...

A meta-analysis of confidence and judgment accuracy in clinical decision making.

The overconfidence bias occurs when clinicians overestimate the accuracy of their clinical judgments. This bias is thought to be robust leading to an almost universal recommendation by clinical judgment scholars for clinicians to temper their confidence in clinical decision making. An extension of the Meta-Analysis of Clinical Judgment (Spengler et al., 2009) project, the authors synthesized ov...

Higher Height, Higher Ability: Judgment Confidence as a Function of Spatial Height Perception

Based on grounded cognition theories, the current study showed that judgments about ability were regulated by the subjects' perceptions of their spatial height. In Experiment 1, we found that after seeing the ground from a higher rather than lower floor, people had higher expectations about their performance on a knowledge test and assigned themselves higher rank positions in a peer comparison ...

Is a Determinant Judgment Really a Judgment?